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What if today’s historically low interest rates are not some aberration that will quickly disappear?

If so, temporary increases in the discount rate will only delay, rather than prevent, the day or reckoning for pensions.

BHS was once one of the biggest names on the high street, but after falling into administration now it faces an uncertain future.

In the first edition of The Briefing Room David Aaronovitch finds out whether it could have survived.

By law, they must hold sufficient assets to cover 105 per cent of promised benefits, unlike those elsewhere allowed to run huge deficits.“ Too many companies continue to take massive bets in their pension funds which they would not dream of taking in their treasury department,” said John Ralfe, who has long warned of the dangers of mismatching assets and liabilities.

“ As a small company supporting a very large pension scheme, Coats should be near the top of the Pension Regulator’s worry list,” Mr Ralfe said.

“ If it were to go bust the PPF would stand to lose about £600m, before any recoveries from selling company assets, one of the PPF’s largest ever hits.” Wall Street creditors are trying to stop Stockton from seeking municipal bankruptcy protection, arguing that the city wants to restructure debts “on the backs of bondholders” rather than trying to reduce its massive pension obligations.

For the second time in history, federal regulators have accused an American state of securities fraud, finding that Illinois misled investors about the condition of its public pension system from 2005 to 2009. " December 2012According to the latest Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook, produced each year by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton, those who bought Austrian stocks just before the first world war would have sat on losses for 97 years.

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JERResearching the generational effects of any changes proposed in the pension sector has become standard practice.Last year, the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB) had to develop a method for such calculations entirely from scratch.An analysis by John Ralfe found that the FTSE 100, would still be lagging below 4,000 today instead of having risen nearly 50 per cent from its lows in early March 2009 were it not for the Bank’s asset purchase programme.Unfortunately, these changes will allow companies to underfund their pension plans, which will cost taxpayers down the road.Like John Ralfe, the pensions consultant well known to these pages, I was sufficiently struck by the Bank of England’s claims about the impact of QE to take a deeper look at their calculations, and in particular at their estimates of how the first two rounds of QE have affected the performance of the stock market.




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